Compare to Baseline model

[Oliss4t]

Naive forecast: last value, moving averages, if using complex multivariate model, compare it to simple univariate model (e.g. exponential smoothing)

[Oliss4t]

For the earthquake :

• we can add a boolean as a regressor for the more complex ones
• for the univaiate ones we can simply impute the timeframe by pedicting the values by creating a model up to this point