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OpenDataHack2018 / OpenDataHack2018-Challenges

Ahead of #OpenDataHack2018 @CopernicusECMWF, submit and discuss your ideas with other OpenDataHackers and get a team ready to hack on 9-10 June 2018 at ECMWF!
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Debunk tabloid-style headlines about ice-age winters and boiling hot summers. #7

Open carlogithub opened 6 years ago

carlogithub commented 6 years ago

Problem (short description, max 150 words) Climate change is altering the frequency of occurrence and the intensity of several weather extremes. Historical records for maximum temperature for example are systematically broken. The challenge is to develop a system able to provide timely heads-up about the possibility of an unprecedented event to occur in the coming month anywhere on the globe. This could be used to provide traceable and transparently produced warnings to the media and the general public. Such a service could be used as a benchmark to debunk the of the annual occurrence of untraceable tabloid-style nonsense.

Proposed solution (short description, max 200 words) The would be to compare the bias-corrected seasonal prediction ensemble with the historical climatology at each place on the planet for a specific event (e.g. heat-wave, accumulated precipitation, wind capacity factor, length of the growing season,...). If the probability for this event to occur -as estimated by the calibrated forecasts- exceeds a pre-defined threshold (e.g 75%) they you present this to the users via a map layer.

Data (what data do you need? what format?) Seasonal predictions and re-analysis

Team

Is your team incomplete and you need extra help? If so, please list below the roles needed:

-data scientist/ statistician -web designer -python programmer/engineer -project manager

kaedonkers commented 6 years ago

Ambitious proposal (and great title!). Would a Python programmer be useful to you?

carlogithub commented 6 years ago

Thank you Kevin. I am glad you liked the challenge. A python programmer would most certainly be useful. We would also need to find someone keen enough to push this forward as it is unlikely I will have much time to do it myself.

Best, Carlo

On Thu, Jun 7, 2018 at 7:47 PM Kevin Donkers notifications@github.com wrote:

Ambitious proposal (and great title!). Would a Python programmer be useful to you?

— You are receiving this because you authored the thread. Reply to this email directly, view it on GitHub https://github.com/OpenDataHack2018/OpenDataHack2018-Challenges/issues/7#issuecomment-395525398, or mute the thread https://github.com/notifications/unsubscribe-auth/ABjphnyPy8pkbIklYLHs7plRKdK-oqVPks5t6XU2gaJpZM4UMcPU .

OpenDataHack2018 commented 6 years ago

This challenge was merged with challenge #13 and selected by team: ASK-ERA