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covid19 parameter file? #50

Open vmasrani opened 4 years ago

vmasrani commented 4 years ago

Hi I'm doing some research using FRED and was wondering if there is a parameter file available that simulates a covid19-like infectious disease?

Thank you!

JohnGrefenstette commented 4 years ago

Working on it. - John

On Mar 21, 2020, at 5:00 PM, Vaden Masrani notifications@github.com<mailto:notifications@github.com> wrote:

Hi I'm doing some research using FRED and was wondering if there is a parameter file available that simulates a covid19-like infectious disease?

Thank you!

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vmasrani commented 4 years ago

Thanks so much John. Do you have a rough estimate of when it will be complete?

GarrettCGraham commented 4 years ago

Hey guys, please let me know if I can help out with this. I'm trying to put a COVID-19 model together for my county to help motivate and guide county-level decision making.

vmasrani commented 4 years ago

Awesome we're trying to do something similar using probabilistic programming tools. However we're not epidemiologists, so don't have the knowledge required to specify covid-like parameters. We're currently running simulations using the default settings (influenza in Jefferson County, as in Exercise 2), but would love to run realistic simulations of COVID-19.

Garrett are you making a COVID-19 param file for your county? Is that something you could make open source? It would help us out tremendously :)

JessicaMRobbins commented 4 years ago

We are also interested in using FRED to simulate COVID at the county level. I'm in the opposite situation--an epidemiologist without the current programming tools. Hoping that something on this thread will help us get there.

Anything folks can post will be helpful.

JohnGrefenstette commented 4 years ago

Thank you for your query about COVID19 modeling with FRED.

Right now all the resources of the FRED team are devoted to support for local and state health departments in PA. Unfortunately, we do not have the resources to assist other modeling efforts at this time.

In addition, you have reached this thread through an outdated version of FRED that is no longer actively supported. The current version of FRED has been exclusively licensed to Epistemix Inc. to handle distribution outside the University of Pittsburgh. Licenses are available for not-for-profit academic and research use, as well as commercial licenses. To obtain a license for FRED, please contact John Cordier at john.cordier@epistemix.com.

Thank you for your understanding.

JessicaMRobbins commented 4 years ago

Well, we are actually working for the Philadelphia Department of Public Health, which has been asked to estimate the infection growth rate out to 14 days.

If you happen to come up with an answer to that question, please let me know!

Be well,

Jessica

Jessica M. Robbins, Ph.D.

Public Health Epidemiologist PDPH / AHS 500 South Broad Street, Philadelphia, PA 19146 (215) 685-6426 / Fax (215) 685-6625

IRB Administrator Philadelphia Department of Public Health 1900 North 20th Street, Philadelphia, PA 19121 (215) 685-0869 / Fax (215) 685-0867 https://www.phila.gov/services/mental-physical-health/medical-professionals/submit-a-research-study-to-the-institutional-review-board-irb/http://www.phila.gov/health/irb

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From: John Grefenstette notifications@github.com Sent: Wednesday, March 25, 2020 8:58 AM To: PublicHealthDynamicsLab/FRED FRED@noreply.github.com Cc: Jessica Robbins Jessica.Robbins@phila.gov; Comment comment@noreply.github.com Subject: Re: [PublicHealthDynamicsLab/FRED] covid19 parameter file? (#50)

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Thank you for your query about COVID19 modeling with FRED.

Right now all the resources of the FRED team are devoted to support for local and state health departments in PA. Unfortunately, we do not have the resources to assist other modeling efforts at this time.

In addition, you have reached this thread through an outdated version of FRED that is no longer actively supported. The current version of FRED has been exclusively licensed to Epistemix Inc. to handle distribution outside the University of Pittsburgh. Licenses are available for not-for-profit academic and research use, as well as commercial licenses. To obtain a license for FRED, please contact John Cordier at john.cordier@epistemix.commailto:john.cordier@epistemix.com.

Thank you for your understanding.

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