make targets a little less ambitious

[lindnemi]

Before asking for a review for this PR make sure to complete the following checklist:

• [ ] Workflow with target rule ariadne_all completes without errors
• [ ] The logic of export_ariadne_variables has been adapted to the changes
• [ ] One or several figures that validate the changes in the PR have been posted as a comment
• [ ] A brief description of the changes has been added to Changelog.md
• [ ] The latest main has been merged into the PR
• [ ] The config has a new prefix of the format YYYYMMDDdescriptive_title

[github-actions[bot]]

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:warning: Config changes detected!

Results may differ due to these changes: ```diff diff --git a/config/config.yaml b/config/config.yaml index 9d53517..e05cf06 100644 --- a/config/config.yaml +++ b/config/config.yaml @@ -234,7 +234,7 @@ clustering: # docs in https://pypsa-eur.readthedocs.io/en/latest/configuration.html#co2-budget co2_budget: 2020: 0.800 # 20% reduction by 2020 - 2025: 0.600 + 2025: 0.620 2030: 0.450 # 55% reduction by 2030 (Ff55) 2035: 0.250 2040: 0.100 # goal to be set next year @@ -426,7 +426,7 @@ solving: DE: 2020: 54.5 2025: 69 - 2030: 250 + 2030: 157 # EEG2023 Ziel für 2035 2035: 250 2040: 250 2045: 250 @@ -442,7 +442,7 @@ solving: DE: 2020: 53.7 2025: 110 # EEG2023; assumes for 2026: 128 GW, assuming a fair share reached by end of 2025 - 2030: 400 + 2030: 309 # EEG2023 Ziel für 2035 2035: 1000 2040: 1000 2045: 1000 @@ -459,16 +459,16 @@ solving: Generator: onwind: DE: - 2030: 115 # Wind-an-Land Law - 2035: 115 # Wind-an-Land Law + 2030: 99 # Wind-an-Land Law 2028 + 2035: 115 # Wind-an-Land Law 2030 2040: 115 # Wind-an-Land Law 2045: 115 offwind: DE: - 2030: 30 # Wind-auf-See Law + 2030: 22.5 # 75% Wind-auf-See Law 2035: 30 - 2040: 30 - 2045: 30 + 2040: 40 + 2045: 50 solar: DE: # EEG2023; Ziel for 2024: 88 GW and for 2026: 128 GW, ```

Ariadne Variables

Comparison

	NRMSE	Pearson
Investment|Energy Supply|Electricity|Transmission|Offwind-AC	0.667	-0.500
Capacity|Heat|Hydrogen	0.574	0.633
Capacity|Electricity|Hydrogen	0.574	0.592
Capacity|Electricity|Hydrogen|FC	0.574	0.592
Investment|Energy Supply|Electricity|Transmission|Offwind-DC	0.525	0.374
Investment|Energy Supply|Electricity|Wind|Offshore	0.506	0.415
Capacity|Electricity|Storage Converter	0.455	-0.130
Secondary Energy Input|Hydrogen|Heat	0.453	0.869
Secondary Energy|Heat|Hydrogen	0.453	0.867
Secondary Energy|Electricity|Hydrogen	0.452	0.831
Secondary Energy Input|Hydrogen|Electricity	0.452	0.807
Capacity|Electricity|Gas|OC	0.408	0.632
Capacity Additions|Heat|Hydrogen	0.405	1.000
Capacity Additions|Electricity|Hydrogen|FC	0.404	0.986
Capacity Additions|Electricity|Hydrogen	0.404	0.986
Investment|Energy Supply|Electricity|Transmission|AC	0.355	0.373
Price|Secondary Energy|Gases|Hydrogen	0.349	0.000
Capacity Additions|Electricity|Wind|Offshore	0.328	0.611
Carbon Sequestration|DACCS	0.317	1.000
Investment|Energy Supply|Electricity|Transmission	0.306	0.828
Investment|Energy Supply|Electricity|Transmission|DC	0.295	0.856
Secondary Energy|Electricity|Hydro	0.253	0.915
Secondary Energy|Electricity|Wind|Offshore	0.238	0.821
Capacity Additions|Electricity|Solar	0.236	0.767
Capacity Additions|Electricity|Solar|PV	0.236	0.767
Capacity Additions|Electricity|Solar|PV|Rooftop	0.236	0.772
Capacity|Electricity|Wind|Offshore	0.228	0.839
Trade|Secondary Energy|Electricity|Volume	0.217	0.900
Investment|Energy Supply|Electricity|Solar|PV|Rooftop	0.211	0.887
Investment|Energy Supply|Electricity|Solar|PV	0.171	0.921
Investment|Energy Supply|Electricity|Solar	0.171	0.921
Capacity|Electricity|Solar|PV|Rooftop	0.155	0.953
Capacity Additions|Electricity|Wind	0.129	0.921
Capacity|Electricity|Solar	0.115	0.965
Capacity|Electricity|Solar|PV	0.115	0.965
Investment|Energy Supply|Electricity|Wind	0.112	0.959
Capacity Additions|Electricity	0.110	0.945
Capacity Additions|Heat|Non-Renewable Waste	0.106	0.993
Capacity Additions|Electricity|Non-Renewable Waste	0.106	0.993
Primary Energy|Solar	0.104	0.971
Secondary Energy|Electricity|Solar	0.104	0.971
Capacity|Heat	0.100	0.976

NRMSE: Normalized (combined-min-max) Root Mean Square Error Pearson: Pearson correlation coefficient Threshold: NRMSE > 0.1 Only variables reaching the threshold are shown. Find the equivalent plot for all of them below.

Plots

Main branch	Feature branch

:warning: Note: Only the first 20 variables are shown, but more are above the threshold. Find all of them in the artifacts.

General

Plots comparison

Main branch	Feature branch

Files comparison

	Status	NRMSE	MAE (norm)
csvs/price_statistics.csv	:warning:Changed	0.009	0.16
csvs/cumulative_cost.csv	:warning:Changed	0.000	0.11
csvs/metrics.csv	:warning:Changed	0.000	0.08
csvs/curtailment.csv	:warning:Changed	0.000	0.11
csvs/nodal_cfs.csv	:warning: NaN mismatch
csvs/nodal_costs.csv	:warning: NaN mismatch
csvs/nodal_capacities.csv	:warning: NaN mismatch
csvs/nodal_supply_energy.csv	:warning: NaN mismatch
csvs/costs.csv	:white_check_mark: Almost equal	0.001	0.00
csvs/cfs.csv	:white_check_mark: Almost equal	0.037	0.00
csvs/supply.csv	:white_check_mark: Almost equal	0.001	0.01
csvs/capacities.csv	:white_check_mark: Almost equal	0.000	0.00
csvs/energy.csv	:white_check_mark: Almost equal	0.001	0.01
csvs/supply_energy.csv	:white_check_mark: Almost equal	0.001	0.01
csvs/prices.csv	:white_check_mark: Almost equal	0.010	0.00
csvs/market_values.csv	:white_check_mark: Almost equal	0.045	0.02
csvs/weighted_prices.csv	:white_check_mark: Equal

NRMSE: Normalized (combined-min-max) Root Mean Square Error MAE (norm): Mean Absolute Error on normalized data (min-max) Status Threshold: MAE (norm) > 0.05 and NRMSE > 0.3

Model Metrics

Benchmarks

Comparing adjust-targets (38fd77c) with main (ed2abcf). Branch is 3 commits ahead and 0 commits behind. Last updated on 2024-09-27 17:35:59 CEST.