PyPSA / pypsa-ariadne

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add carbon component for coal, gas and oil in 2020 and 2025 #88

Closed JulianGeis closed 4 weeks ago

JulianGeis commented 1 month ago

Adding carbon price in 2020 and 2025 for fossil generators

prices so far:

add ons for specific emissions:

prices now:

difference in electricity generation: before:

after:

ariadne plots: before:

after:

JulianGeis commented 1 month ago

results of 3H runs:

image

secondary_energy_detailed

lindnemi commented 4 weeks ago

handle these prices explicitly in modify_cost_data for better model transparency

JulianGeis commented 4 weeks ago

"New results" (365H) with the same prices but calculation of the carbon components add on directly in the workflow:

costs 2020 -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- technology,parameter,value,unit,source,further description,currency_year oil | fuel | 28.6257 | EUR2020/MWh | Ariadne | $2020 = 0.8775 EUR2020, 1bbl = 1.6998MWh (added carbon component of 6.4275 €/MWh according to co2 price of 25 €/t co2 and carbon intensity of 0.2571 t co2/MWh)

lignite | fuel | 13.471 | EUR/MWh_th | DIW (2013): Current and propsective costs of electricity generation until 2050, http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 , pg. 80 text below figure 10, accessed: 2023-12-14. | Based on IEA 2011 data, 10 USD/t. (added carbon component of 10.1725 €/MWh according to co2 price of 25 €/t co2 and carbon intensity of 0.4069 t co2/MWh) | 2010

coal | fuel | 14.1073 | EUR2020/MWh | Ariadne | $2020 = 0.8775 EUR2020, 1t = 8.06 MWh (added carbon component of 8.4025 €/MWh according to co2 price of 25 €/t co2 and carbon intensity of 0.3361 t co2/MWh)

gas | fuel | 16.15 | EUR/MWh_th | Ariadne | (added carbon component of 4.95 €/MWh according to co2 price of 25 €/t co2 and carbon intensity of 0.198 t co2/MWh)

costs 2025: -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- technology,parameter,value,unit,source,further description,currency_year oil | fuel | 48.4136 | EUR2020/MWh | Ariadne | $2020 = 0.8775 EUR2020, 1bbl = 1.6998MWh (added carbon component of 15.426 €/MWh according to co2 price of 60 €/t co2 and carbon intensity of 0.2571 t co2/MWh)

lignite | fuel | 27.7125 | EUR/MWh_th | DIW (2013): Current and propsective costs of electricity generation until 2050, http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 , pg. 80 text below figure 10, accessed: 2023-12-14. | Based on IEA 2011 data, 10 USD/t. (added carbon component of 24.414 €/MWh according to co2 price of 60 €/t co2 and carbon intensity of 0.4069 t co2/MWh) | 2010

gas | fuel | 51.88 | EUR/MWh_th | Ariadne | (added carbon component of 11.88 €/MWh according to co2 price of 60 €/t co2 and carbon intensity of 0.198 t co2/MWh)

coal | fuel | 30.8354 | EUR2020/MWh | Ariadne | $2020 = 0.8775 EUR2020, 1t = 8.06 MWh (added carbon component of 20.166 €/MWh according to co2 price of 60 €/t co2 and carbon intensity of 0.3361 t co2/MWh)

plots:

image

image

image

The Carbon Price transition is actually quite smooth:

PyPSA-Eur v0.10 | KN2045_Bal_v4 | DEU | Price\|Carbon | EUR2020/t CO2 | 25 | 60.0000021043439 | 66.4015048757062 | 160.405928196285 | 318.518230244514 | 299.156226845155 -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | --

lindnemi commented 4 weeks ago

very nice work @JulianGeis , thank you!