Q1: Are you OK with my Table of drivers of geomorphic change? I'd add to those a spatial element which would be some measure of presence/absence of upstream risk of sediment supply.
Q2: How to generate a risk of erosion/deposition in a 500m reach from these data? Options are:
a) Multicriteria weighting - driven by published expert opinion and "tuned" using Derwent data.
b) Fuzzy/Bayesian approach that you mentioned...
c) Machine Learning ....outside this project...but sounds doable.
Q3: Are you happy to get Duncan to build a tool that pulls together all his different parts to generate the data for Q1 and analysis in Q2 (though the analysis would be a seperate peice of code I guess)?
Questions from @dsear