Section 7: Tipping Points
In this section, we cover tipping points. We focus on two models. A percolation model from physics that we apply to banks and a model of the spread of diseases. The disease model is more complicated so I break that into two parts. The first part focuses on the diffusion. The second part adds recovery. The readings for this section consist of two excerpts from the book I'm writing on models. One covers diffusion. The other covers tips. There is also a technical paper on tipping points that I've included in a link. I wrote it with PJ Lamberson and it will be published in the Quarterly Journal of Political Science. I've included this to provide you a glimpse of what technical social science papers look like. You don't need to read it in full, but I strongly recommend the introduction. It also contains a wonderful reference list.
Tipping Points
Diffusion and SIS
Lamberson and Page: Tipping Points (READ INTRO ONLY)
2013-11-02 (80min) Coursera open course: Model Thinking by Scott E. Page Start from 10.07.2013, will end on 12.16.2013 Link: https://class.coursera.org/modelthinking-005/class/index;
Section 7: Tipping Points In this section, we cover tipping points. We focus on two models. A percolation model from physics that we apply to banks and a model of the spread of diseases. The disease model is more complicated so I break that into two parts. The first part focuses on the diffusion. The second part adds recovery. The readings for this section consist of two excerpts from the book I'm writing on models. One covers diffusion. The other covers tips. There is also a technical paper on tipping points that I've included in a link. I wrote it with PJ Lamberson and it will be published in the Quarterly Journal of Political Science. I've included this to provide you a glimpse of what technical social science papers look like. You don't need to read it in full, but I strongly recommend the introduction. It also contains a wonderful reference list.
Tipping Points
Diffusion and SIS
Lamberson and Page: Tipping Points (READ INTRO ONLY)
Vocabulary learning： log base two entropy 熵 plummet 铅锤，垂直下落 exponential growth 指数增长 extension 延长 Gross Domestic Product 国内生产总值 inflation 通货膨胀 contraction 通货紧缩 compounding 组合，混合 rule of 72 depreciation 折旧，贬值 sustain 维持，供养