UBC-MDS / DSCI_522_group-314

Prediction of Customer Default
MIT License
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Closed ksedivyhaley closed 4 years ago

ksedivyhaley commented 4 years ago

We can see that the best model which uses 7 features tends to correctly predict the customer that defaulted out-performing the base-case model which uses all the features. This is critically important in risk management. We can see that 4600 predictions were made that correctly classified a non-default as a non-default. This is about 600 cases better than the base-case model. There was also 1200 predictions that were made that incorrectly classified a non-default as a default, actually about 700 cases worse than the best-case model.On the other hand the model was able to predict 940 cases of defaulted customers that actually defaulted which is about 160 cases worse than base-case model. The best-case model was also able to produce 720 predictions were made that incorrectly classified a defaulted customers as a defaulted customers.

dataubc commented 4 years ago

[Important] This section is unclear, and needs re-writing. Consider false positive / false negative trade-offs. Rewrote the section