aatishb / covidtrends

Tracking the growth of COVID-19 Cases worldwide
https://aatishb.com/covidtrends/
MIT License
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Guide users in understanding the graph #162

Open aatishb opened 4 years ago

aatishb commented 4 years ago

Starting a thread for some related ideas that have been sitting on my to-do list.

I think we should provide some help in interpreting the graph. Like a how to read this graph section. (Currently we point folks to the related Minute Physics video, but we can't assume folks have watched this.) This could be some kind of overlay that is shown the first time a user visits the page, which explains what the axes are, the fact that we are on a log scale by default, what the trend line means, and addresses some possible confusions.

Related: I like how these folks show 4 scenarios to guide readers into interpreting the graph.

I also like how Our World in Data adds a prominent disclaimer as a subtitle to all Covid graphs, and think we should do something similar.

Their disclaimer for deaths:

Limited testing and challenges in the attribution of the cause of death means that the number of confirmed deaths may not be an accurate count of the true number of deaths from COVID-19.

& their disclaimer for cases:

The number of confirmed COVID-19 cases is lower than the number of total cases. The main reason for this is limited testing.

We should perhaps also emphasize that number of confirmed cases is strongly dependent on the testing rate, which can differ vastly across countries, so we advise caution when making comparisons between countries, and emphasize that the data is an under-estimate. My concern is that many people are over-estimating how accurately the data reflects the ground reality, and so we need to emphasize some of the uncertainties.

Vox did a nice video explainer on understanding Covid charts. While that is more focused on a time series graph, I think it's a good example of the kind of guidance we should strive to provide through the website.

rpkoller commented 4 years ago

I'll add a few loose thoughts into the discussion:

UriGrod commented 4 years ago

First: great website. I regard this chart as the best way to view and I look mainly at this page to follow the trends.

I had an idea re: explanations, which is relevant only if it's something you'd rather save time on. Maybe one of the small companies such as HelpHero or UserPilot would like to volunteer to do this professionally for free. Alternatively, one of the many companies doing "video explanation stories". For their employees it would be great to participate I'm sure, and for the company they will probably put it as "here's what we're doing for Corona" or something.

I'm not related myself to any such company, but happy to help in contacting anyone you choose and liaising, if there's any interest. I assume they'd want some acknowledgement somewhere and you'll have to decide if that's acceptable etc.

waldyrious commented 4 years ago

Related: I like how these folks show 4 scenarios to guide readers into interpreting the graph.

To me that graph suggests that coloring the sections of the curves based on the local slope may help conveying the severity of each part of the trajectories, moreso than eyeballing the slope as we do today, or comparing the curves to reference shapes as the images in that tweet require.

Of course this couldn't be done for all lines simultaneously, but maybe it could be done when a given line is hovered (rather than highlighting the entire line in pink as we do now).