activelo is the lil' tool I wrote to calculate Elos for a group of agents in as few games as possible. Each step, it uses variational methods to fit a full Gaussian to the posterior distribution of Elos, and then suggests the matching that'd most reduce the uncertainty in that distribution.
I think it works pretty great, but I haven't done any exhaustive testing. So maybe it's awful! But if it's good, it might be publishable.
gwern has an excellent summary of the competition.
activelo
is the lil' tool I wrote to calculate Elos for a group of agents in as few games as possible. Each step, it uses variational methods to fit a full Gaussian to the posterior distribution of Elos, and then suggests the matching that'd most reduce the uncertainty in that distribution.I think it works pretty great, but I haven't done any exhaustive testing. So maybe it's awful! But if it's good, it might be publishable.
gwern has an excellent summary of the competition.