Papers to read on forecasting

[balarsen]

These will need a read for comparison Owens 2008 Metrics for solar wind prediction models: Comparison of empirical, hybrid, and physics‐based schemes with 8 years of L1 observations: https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2007SW000380

Owens 2017 Probabilistic Solar Wind Forecasting Using Large Ensembles of Near‐Sun Conditions With a Simple One‐Dimensional “Upwind” Scheme: https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2017SW001679

Bussy‐Virat 2014 Predictions of the solar wind speed by the probability distribution function model: https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014SW001051

Owens 2014 Ensemble downscaling in coupled solar wind‐magnetosphere modeling for space weather forecasting: https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1002/2014SW001064

[balarsen]

Morley 2018 Perturbed Input Ensemble Modeling With the Space Weather Modeling Framework https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2018SW002000