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blab / ncov-forecasting-fit

Assessing accuracy of fitness model forecasts
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Figure 5 updates #21

Closed trvrb closed 9 months ago

trvrb commented 10 months ago

A few recommended updates to Figure 5:

  1. Drop Monaco from panel A and shrink y axis to give this more resolution
  2. Use % notation for panels B and D (also as expressed in https://github.com/blab/ncov-forecasting-fit/issues/15)
  3. Going up to 5000 sequences per week is losing dynamic range here. It looks like all the action is definitely within the first 2000 sequences per week. Change the x-axis to span from 0 to 2000 sequences per week. Make datapoints every 100 along this line (will be 20 points along the x axis rather than the current 11 which seems fine). If this is computationally too demanding can reduce to datapoints every 200.
  4. Average out estimates in panels B-D over 10 replicates. Right now stochastic noise makes it difficult to pick out a pattern. If this is computationally too demanding can reduce to 5 replicates.