search

cjph8914 / 2020_benfords

369 stars 83 forks source link

Florida is benford law #18

Open korentzari opened 3 years ago

korentzari commented 3 years ago

https://dos.myflorida.com/elections/data-statistics/elections-data/precinct-level-election-results/

[onishin@pump florida]$ grep -i Trump .txt | awk '{print substr($NF,1,1)}' | sort | uniq -c | sort -n 257 9 280 8 301 0 308 7 359 6 429 5 614 4 754 3 1111 2 1739 1 [onishin@pump florida]$ grep -i Biden .txt | awk '{print substr($NF,1,1)}' | sort | uniq -c | sort -n 191 9 203 8 246 7 261 6 281 5 283 0 474 4 808 3 1430 2 1975 1 [onishin@pump florida]$ Is clean for me

dshield55 commented 3 years ago

Is this the whole state or did you narrow it by a specific county?

byt3thematics commented 3 years ago

He did the whole state

dshield55 commented 3 years ago

FL doesn't appear to report precinct by precinct I really don't think this endeavour is uncovering anything

I'm biased towards wanting it to work that there's fraud. So far I don't feel like there's smoking gun evidence yet. At this point somebody on Trump's team has seen this and I wonder if they're paying big brains to deep dive. Seems like we would need country wide data, county by county, and state by state, for this year and maybe 2016 to determine how often anomalies pop up even in counties where you wouldn't suspect fraud. If it turned out it's rare to get them, maybe we're onto to something if the battleground state counties get the anomalies. I duuno.

Creating the graphs is kind of fun, though. Looks like you've had a lot of fun