Based on a discussion during the implementers meeting, the takeaway from the well performing previous covid models was using smoothed data and including a measure of standard deviation (the function augment_df_nest_with_sd from covid-hosp-forecast implements that idea).
Based on a discussion during the implementers meeting, the takeaway from the well performing previous covid models was using smoothed data and including a measure of standard deviation (the function
augment_df_nest_with_sdfrom covid-hosp-forecast implements that idea).