commfish / seak_sablefish

NSEI sablefish stock assessment
8 stars 5 forks source link

Review of TMB assessment #38

Closed jysullivan closed 4 years ago

jysullivan commented 5 years ago

Comments from BW to address:

Finally, strong recruitment from the 2014 and possibly 2013 and 2015 year classes were reported in the Federal assessment, prompting questions about how to treat the uncertainty in recruitment for State management (Hanselman et al. 2017, Sullivan and Williams 2018). A statistical catch-at-age model coded in Template Model Builder (TMB) will allow more flexibility in exploring recruitment using random effects (Kasper et al. 2016).

We have maturity data from the survey going back to 1997 (2007 was a typo). The query for the data and assumptions about which maturity codes I associate with mature and immature are found in 0_querynclean_data.r.

Here are the sample sizes by year:

Year n
1997 263
1998 197
1999 156
2000 216
2001 183
2002 302
2003 391
2004 410
2005 507
2006 420
2007 429
2008 338
2009 366
2010 320
2011 365
2012 407
2013 261
2014 288
2015 292
2016 318
2017 348
2018 353

Additional sources of mortality that are not currently included in this model include sport, subsistence and personal use harvest, estimated bycatch mortality in the halibut fishery, and estimated deadloss, which includes mortality from sand fleas, sharks, and whales.

I added some more text in this section and have added it to the long-term improvements section. To be honest I'm not sure exactly how this is normally done. Catch is fit assuming a single or time-varying selectivity curve. It's likely that adding sport and personal use harvest wouldn't affect this, but I'm not sure.

GreatDana commented 5 years ago

I think you mean Kristensen, not Kasper unless we are getting really informal with citations.

On Tue, May 21, 2019 at 8:26 AM Jane Sullivan notifications@github.com wrote:

Comments from BW to address:

  • Clarify how we want to talk about recruitment and incorporating uncertainty into management in the introduction. Currently the text says,

Finally, strong recruitment from the 2014 and possibly 2013 and 2015 year classes were reported in the Federal assessment, prompting questions about how to treat the uncertainty in recruitment for State management (Hanselman et al. 2017, Sullivan and Williams 2018). A statistical catch-at-age model coded in Template Model Builder (TMB) will allow more flexibility in exploring recruitment using random effects (Kasper et al. 2016).

— You are receiving this because you are subscribed to this thread. Reply to this email directly, view it on GitHub https://github.com/commfish/seak_sablefish/issues/38?email_source=notifications&email_token=ABSQNRWIHV2KULKLBREDEU3PWQPBRA5CNFSM4HOMWYG2YY3PNVWWK3TUL52HS4DFUVEXG43VMWVGG33NNVSW45C7NFSM4GVAJU7Q, or mute the thread https://github.com/notifications/unsubscribe-auth/ABSQNRW33GOXHHTDSTU4XZDPWQPBRANCNFSM4HOMWYGQ .

jysullivan commented 5 years ago

Fixed, thanks @Dana!