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XBB.1.5 spike diversity - multiple lineages issue to track easily if any spike mutation appears (and circulates) within XBB.1.5 lineage - Last update 12/03/2023 #1510

Closed FedeGueli closed 1 year ago

FedeGueli commented 1 year ago

@corneliusroemer , happy new year first!, then here the new XBB.1.5 Spike Diversity Issue: (last update 12/03/23)

XBB.1.5 query : T17124C,T23018C +

Legenda: N or n= not growing = zero new sequences blank = growing little but different from 0seqs y= growing around 15% since last update yy = growing more than 20% since last update yyy = growing more than 50% since last update (Designated lineages are out of the game , no updates for them) Lineages with less than 10 sequences now will not be updated.

Mutation W Sequences Growing (Y>+20%,YY>+30%/W) RBD Notes
Spike_V952I XBB.1.5.6      
Spike_K1181I XBB.1.5.5      
Spike_T883I XBB.1.5.4      
Spike_A411S XBB.1.5.3      
S:T284I+S:K147I XBB.1.5.2      
Spike_T323I XBB.1.5.12     predicted as advantageous by Bloomcalc.
Spike_F456L XBB.1.5.10      
Spike_A411T Spike_R646H N    
Spike_R214L EM.1      
Spike_Q675H EL.1     #1631
Spike_T259I EK.2      
Spike_K417S EK.1     #1638
Spike_T573I XBB.1.5.1      
Spike_T678P   n    
Spike_N148T 424 YY    
Spike_G1219V 293      
Spike_N978S 279 Yy   #1699
Spike_P621S 274 yy   non monoph.
Spike_T478R 199 YY Yes  
Spike_K1045R 194 YY    
Spike_A348T 186 YY Yes #1660 #1661
Spike_K97T 181 YY   #1643
Spike_V36I 173 y    
Spike_L176F 160 YY    
Spike_I666V 142 y   non monophyl.
Spike_E583D 138 YY    
Spike_A852S 132 YY    
Spike_P521S 129 YYY   #1688
Spike_i410V+Spike_p521S 127 YYY   #1688
Spike_I197V 124 Y   #1745
Spike_P1162L 120 YY    
Spike_S494P 118 Y Yes #1610
Spike_t547I 118 Y    
Spike_M177I 113 YYY    
Spike_N703S 105 YY   https://nextstrain.org/fetch/genome.ucsc.edu/trash/ct/subtreeAuspice1_genome_f220_332430.json?label=id:node_8090637
Spike_S221L 105 Y   non monophyl.
Spike_S640F 99 Y    
Spike_A688V 94 YY    
Spike_F59L 94 YY    
Spike_T51I 87 YYY    
Spike_H245Y 86 YY    
Spike_H245Y 86 y    
Spike_H49Y 81 YY    
Spike_P251S 78 YY   #1684
Spike_T299I 75      
Spike_R346I 74 y Yes  
Spike_h1058Y 73 Y    
Spike_I410V 71 YYY y  
Spike_K304Q 70 YYY    
Spike_T1117R 67      
Spike_W64R 67 Y   https://nextstrain.org/fetch/genome.ucsc.edu/trash/ct/subtreeAuspice1_genome_e957_331fa0.json?c=country&label=id:node_8073903
Spike_P1162S 66 YY    
Spike_A348S 65   Yes #1595
Spike_G1099D 64      
Spike_N540K 64 YYY   #1710
Spike_S689T 61      
Spike_T307I 60 y    
Spike_P521T 58 YY    
Spike_S514F 57 y   down binding
Spike_H69Y 56      
Spike_Q675K 56 Y    
Spike_A352V 55   y  
Spike_V1122M 55 YYY    
Spike_Q1201K 54 Y    
Spike_Q52H 54 yy    
Spike_A1078S 53 Y    
Spike_V1122L 53 YY    
Spike_F157L 52 YY    
Spike_S256L 51      
Spike_T478I 51 y    
Spike_D198G 48      
Spike_E1144Q 48 Y    
Spike_E619K 48 Y    
Spike_Q677H 47 y   Iceland
Spike_A1020V 46 1    
Spike_G257S 46 YY    
Spike_P463S 46 Y Y Non monophyl.
Spike_S31F 46 Y    
Spike_S254F 44 YY    
Spike_t588I 44 YYY    
Spike_T588I 44 yy    
Spike_K558N 43      
Spike_E324K 42      
Spike_S939F 42 Y    
Spike_V772I 42 yy    
Spike_N137S 41 YYY   fast
Spike_P479L 41   yes australia
Spike_A352S 40   Yes  
Spike_G476S 38   y  
Spike_N481S 38      
Spike_L922F, Spike_t747I 37      
Spike_Q836R 37 YY    
Spike_L335F 36 y    
Spike_T430I 36   y  
Spike_T941S 36      
Spike_V130I 36      
Spike_A288T 35      
Spike_C1243F 34 Y    
Spike_D1146Y 34      
Spike_D936H 34      
Spike_R190S 34      
Spike_D215G 33 Y    
Spike_E406Q 33 y    
Spike_p812S 33 y    
Spike_W152R 33 Y    
Spike_E340Q 32      
Spike_G485S 32   Yes  
SPike_N354K 32 Y Y  
Spike_S255F 32 y    
Spike_T478E 32 y    
Spike_R78M 31 y    
Spike_A288S 30      
Spike_I834V 30 Y    
Spike_T240I 30 Y    
Spike_A475V 29   Yes  
Spike_A1078T 28      
Spike_A222S 28 YY    
Spike_T470I 28 Y y  
Spike_T859N 28 Y    
Spike_V445S 28 Y    
Spike_A222V 27      
Spike_F490P 27 YY y  
Spike_S750N 27 Y    
Spike_T553I 27      
Spike_Y145K,Spike_H146K 27     It makes 145-147KKK
Spike_G268S 25      
Spike_K182R 25 Y    
Spike_L513F 25 Y    
Spike_M153I 25      
Spike_N99S 25 Y    
Spike_t385I 25 y y  
SPike_I1114V 24      
Spike_V483F 24   y  
Spike_E661D 23      
Spike_N1023S 23      
Spike_K444T,Spike_L452R 22   Yes  
Spike_E1202Q 22 Y    
Spike_T676I 22 N    
Spike_t961M 22 Y    
Spike_A67T 20 Y    
Spike_D215Y 20 y    
Spike_G485D 20   y  
Spike_K77N 20 Y    
Spike_S71F 20      
Spike_t323R 20 YY    
Spike_L858I 20 y    
Spike_P1112S 19 YY    
Spike_P681R 19 Y    
Spike_E554Q 18      
Spike_K444R 18 Y y  
Spike_T768N 18 N    
Spike_K182E 18 yy    
Spike_A435T 17 Y    
Spike_A694V 17 y    
Spike_D138G 17 y    
Spike_I210del 17      
Spike_L84I 17 N    
Spike_P1143S 17 N    
Spike_R1185H 17      
Spike_S255P 17      
Spike_T523A 17 yy    
Spike_v289L 17 YY    
Spike_V70F 17 Y    
Spike_R237K 17 yyy    
Spike_A522P 16 N    
Spike_K356T 16 y Y  
Spike_R408G 16 YY    
Spike_S591T 16 yy    
Spike_V308L 16 Y    
Spike_D1199N/H/E 15 N    
Spike_i128V 15 Y    
Spike_P631S 15 N    
Spike_Q493L 15 Y Y  
Spike_S937T 15 N    
Spike_V642G 15 y    
Spike_i997V 15 y    
Spike_E471Q 14   Y  
Spike_K304Q,Spike_A411S 14 y    
Spike_L518V 14 Y    
Spike_M177T 14 y    
Spike_P1162Q 14      
Spike_Q474K 14 y    
Spike_S691P 14 Y    
Spike_T549A 14 yy    
Spike_T791I 14 N    
Spike_T859I 14 y    
Spike_A846S 13 y    
Spike_A93S 13      
Spike_D1146N 13 Y    
Spike_D427Y 13 y Y  
Spike_E619A 13 Y    
Spike_I1216T 13 Y    
Spike_K150N 13 Y    
Spike_K462E 13 N y #
SPike_P479H 13 n    
Spike_S929T 13      
Spike_T547K 13 Y    
Spike_i1221V 13      
Spike_T618I 13 y    
Spike_V159I 13 y    
Spike_A522V 12 N    
Spike_A684P 12 N    
Spike_A845S 12 y    
Spike_D574Y 12 n    
Spike_g257D 12 y    
Spike_G446I 12 n Y  
Spike_I670V 12      
Spike_N148K 12 Y    
Spike_N658K 12      
Spike_N74D 12      
Spike_Q52R 12      
Spike_N481T 12 y    
Spike_E1150D 11 N    
Spike_e516Q,Spike_t883I,Spike_D1168H 11      
Spike_H519L 11 N Y  
Spike_k129R 11 N    
SPike_Y200C 11 n    
Spike_E554V 11      
Spike_I68T 11      
Spike_P272S 11      
Spike_M740T 11      
Spike_g1124S 11 y    
Spike_H1101R 11 y    
Spike_I418V 11 y    
Spike_A701S 10      
Spike_D215H 10 N    
Spike_D53E 10 N    
Spike_E281D 10      
Spike_H1159R 10      
SPike_N679R 10 Y    
Spike_P337S 10 N    
Spike_V227L 10 N    
Spike_V510L 10 N    
Spike_I233V 10 y    
Spike_R1014K 10      
Spike_r765C 10 y    
Spike_R403K 10      
Spike_V483I 10 y Y  
Spike_D843N 9 N    
Spike_E583D,Spike_L858I 9 yy    
Spike_G339Q 9 Y    
Spike_Y636F 9 N    
Spike_E96D 9      
Spike_Y396H 9 n Y  
Spike_D808N 9      
Spike_E154D 9      
Spike_G339R 9 y    
Spike_G482S 9   y  
Spike_N149Y 9 y    
Spike_Q218R 9 y    
Spike_N481Y 9      
Spike_V367I 9      
Spike_L242F 8      
Spike_N185S 8 n    
Spike_V1122L,Spike_p1162S 8      
Spike_V83P 8      
Spike_V433I 8   Y  
Spike_G184S 8      
Spike_N481S,Spike_G482del 8      
Spike_T500A 8   y  
Spike_V610I 8      
Spike_V622A 8      
Spike_A264V 8      
Spike_g75S 8      
Spike_S325F 8      
Spike_K97R 8 y    
Spike_N540Y 8 y    
Spike_N234D 7 n    
Spike_R646H 7 y    
Spike_T208A 7      
Spike_W64L 7 Y    
Spike_A372V 7 n    
Spike_g219S 7      
Spike_P82L 7 n    
Spike_V267L 7      
Spike_v511I 7     b
Spike_L455F 7   Yes  
Spike_N282S 7 y    
Spike_N354S 7      
Spike_D53N 6      
Spike_E465D 6      
Spike_K182Q 6      
Spike_p174R 6 n    
Spike_V722D 6 Y    
Spike_T236S 6      
Spike_G261C 6      
Spike_A260T 5 n    
Spike_D1184Y 5 n    
Spike_D88H 5 n    
Spike_I1225V 5 n    
Spike_i598V 5      
Spike_k182Q 5      
Spike_K444N 5 n    
Spike_L1012S 5      
Spike_L242F 5 y    
Spike_N925Y 5 n    
Spike_P174S 5 y    
Spike_P330L 5      
Spike_R190T 5 N    
Spike_R567I 5      
Spike_R646L 5      
Spike_V1068I 5      
Spike_D420N 5 n    
Spike_D88G 5 n    
Spike_D936E 5 n    
Spike_G381R 5      
Spike_E154Q, 4      
Spike_G485V 4 n Y  
Spike_G932C 4 n    
Spike_G946R 4 n    
Spike_k1086R 4      
Spike_K356E 4 n Yes  
Spike_L179S 4      
Spike_N450D 4      
Spike_N532Y 4      
Spike_N658S 4      
Spike_Q580L 4      
Spike_S1021A 4 N    
Spike_S477K 4 n    
Spike_T284I, Spike_R403K, Spike_L513F 4 n    
Spike_V407I 4 n    
Spike_Y351H 4     NOT UPDATED
Spike_G482V 4 n y  
Spike_N606K 4 n    
Spike_N751Y 4 n    
Spike_P621H 4 N    
Spike_S937L 4 n    
Spike_Y660F 4      
Spike_G838S 3 N   NOT UPDATED
Spike_A163V 3 n   NOT UPDATED
Spike_A348P 3 N Y  
Spike_A647V 3 n   NOT UPDATED
Spike_D1127G 3 n   NOT UPDATED
Spike_G75R 3 n    
Spike_L452M 3   Y  
Spike_L517P 3 Y    
Spike_N658Y 3 n    
Spike_p499L 3      
Spike_Q218H 3 N    
Spike_Q607R 3      
Spike_R357I 3 N y  
Spike_S686R 3 Y    
Spike_T415I 3 N y  
Spike_t470N 3 n y  
Spike_Y200H 3      
Spike_Y451H 3 N    
Spike_A1016V 2 N   NOT UPDATED
Spike_A871V 2 n   NOT UPDATED
Spike_D1118Y 2 n   NOT UPDATED
Spike_D1165Y 2 N   NOT UPDATED
Spike_D428G 2 N   NOT UPDATED
Spike_D627H 2 N   NOT UPDATED
Spike_E1188V 2 n   NOT UPDATED
Spike_E132Q 2 n   NOT UPDATED
Spike_E406Q,Spike_G482S 2      
Spike_E654V 2     NOT UPDATED
Spike_I402V 2     NOT UPDATED
Spike_K356N 2 N y NOT UPDATED
Spike_K529R 2 N   NOT UPDATED
Spike_K537R 2 n   NOT UPDATED
Spike_K947T 2 N   NOT UPDATED
Spike_N360S 2 n   NOT UPDATED
Spike_N536S 2 n   NOT UPDATED
Spike_N61K 2 n   NOT UPDATED
Spike_P272T 2 n   NOT UPDATED
Spike_Q271L 2 N   NOT UPDATED
Spike_Q787H 2 N   NOT UPDATED
Spike_R102I 2 n   NOT UPDATED
Spike_R273M 2 N   NOT UPDATED
Spike_S162I 2 n   NOT UPDATED
Spike_S596I 2 n   NOT UPDATED
Spike_T645I 2 n   NOT UPDATED
Spike_W152S 2 n   NOT UPDATED
Spike_y160F 2 N   NOT UPDATED
Spike_Y248H 2 N   NOT UPDATED
Spike_Y248S 2 N   NOT UPDATED
SPike_Y453F 2 N   NOT UPDATED
Spike_A1016S 1 N   NOT UPDATED
Spike_A243S, Spike_A263P 1 n   NOT UPDATED
Spike_A262T 1 N   NOT UPDATED
Spike_A397S 1 n   NOT UPDATED
Spike_A845D 1 n    
Spike_D1199G 1 N   NOT UPDATED
Spike_d614S 1 N   NOT UPDATED
Spike_D867G 1 n   NOT UPDATED
Spike_E154Q,Spike_G72R 1 n    
Spike_E156A 1 n    
Spike_E484K (from ryan) 1 n YY NOT UPDATED
Spike_E96G 1 N   NOT UPDATED
Spike_F168V 1 N   NOT UPDATED
Spike_F392Y 1 N   NOT UPDATED
Spike_G446N 1 N Y NOT UPDATED
Spike_G545S 1 N   NOT UPDATED
Spike_H146R 1 N   NOT UPDATED
Spike_I233T 1 N   NOT UPDATED
Spike_I472V 1 N   NOT UPDATED
Spike_i770V 1 N   NOT UPDATED
Spike_K1073T 1 N   NOT UPDATED
Spike_K182N 1 N   NOT UPDATED
Spike_K790R 1 N   NOT UPDATED
Spike_L1024H 1 n   NOT UPDATED
Spike_L241S 1 N   NOT UPDATED
Spike_M153T 1 N   NOT UPDATED
Spike_N122S 1 N   NOT UPDATED
Spike_N282K,Spike_A222T 1 N    
Spike_N282Y 1 N   NOT UPDATED
Spike_N450K 1 N Yes NOT UPDATED
Spike_P1162L,Spike_D1163Y 1 N    
Spike_P499S 1 N Yes NOT UPDATED
Spike_p812R 1 N   NOT UPDATED
Spike_Q1201k,Spike_E1202Q 1 N   NOT UPDATED
Spike_Q787K 1 N   NOT UPDATED
Spike_S359I 1 N   NOT UPDATED
Spike_T124S 1 N   NOT UPDATED
Spike_T430I,Spike_p521S 1 n    
Spike_T696I 1 n   NOT UPDATED
Spike_t73A 1 n   NOT UPDATED
Spike_T998S 1 N   NOT UPDATED
Spike_V483A 1 N Y NOT UPDATED
Spike_V503F 1 N   NOT UPDATED
Spike_W258S 1 n   NOT UPDATED
Spike_D1084E 0      
Spike_G669S 0      
Spike_N417I 0      
Spike_T835I 0      
ryhisner commented 1 year ago

I used to look for changes to the various Omicron S2/near-S2 mutations, but I've stopped looking. It's become clear that those mutations—H655Y, N679K, N764K, D796Y, Q954H, & N969K—aren't going anywhere and that changes to any one of them are clearly deleterious. I don't know enough to say how these S2 mutations are connected or function together, but it seems to me like the only way they are going to change—if they ever change—is via wholesale replacement, which is probably only possible through either emergence of an orthogonal variant from a chronic infection or recombination with such a variant. The fact that all the Omicron-Delta recombinants retain the entire Omicron S2 has to mean something, maybe that there are allosteric interactions between some of the Omicron S2 and NTD/RBD mutations that are an essential part of its S2 machinery?

There was that Gupta Lab study that showed Delta and Kappa's NTDs had a large effect on S2 function, and also an earlier one positing a mechanism whereby the NTD could affect S2. If I remember right, the latter involved residues around 735-737, and its interesting to note that a few of the most highly mutated chronic Delta sequences have had mutations at S:735 and S:737. https://www.cell.com/cell-reports/fulltext/S2211-1247(22)01037-3 https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2211124722005538

oobb45729 commented 1 year ago

At least Y796H is not uncommon. D796Y/D796H showed up in lineages prior to Omicron and it is not uncommon for Delta to gain them. I recall that one study showed that D796H results in lesser infectivity and better immune escape for reasons not very clear. Also there are mutations nearby like T883I and 701-706 mutations. I also noticed that some interesting sequences have T791I/T791P.

oobb45729 commented 1 year ago

The evidence I've seen about N764K seems to suggest that it is a pure gain. It was in B.1.634. It showed up in some highly mutated Delta and Lambda sequences. Unlike N969K, it does not have the altered entry pathway effect. https://www.biorxiv.org/content/biorxiv/early/2022/05/13/2021.12.31.474653/F4.large.jpg?width=800&height=600&carousel=1

For the furin sites, A688V happens quite often and H681R is seen in some chronic sequences.

oobb45729 commented 1 year ago

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9542985/ This paper shows that H655Y decreases TMPRSS2 usage and increases cathepsin L usage and suggests that H655Y might be the reason behind the altered entry mechanism. However, the mutation was seen in many lineages prior to Omicron, including Gamma, and none of them was reported to have this type of the altered entry. I think the reason might be in this paper: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41421-022-00419-w It shows two cathepsin L cleavage sites, T259|A260 and Y636|S637 (elaborated by https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8455558/) and it shows that the cleavages at both sites may assist both entry routes. Therefore increased cathepsin L usage does not necessarily mean that the entry mechanism is altered. H655Y is near the Y636|S637 site. (By the way, H69 and V70 are near the T259|A260 site and the paper (https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9542985/) claims that 69-70del increases cathepsin L usage). H655Y may be fixed now, but there are some interesting mutations not far from the Y636|S637 site, including E619Q, P621S/H, I666V. There is also V642G. https://jbloomlab.github.io/SARS2-mut-fitness/S.html gives it fitness of 3.52. It's at the R346T level. V642G Will it be the next R346T? Not sure. It appeared in many highly mutated sequences recently. V642G is just beside F643, which forms π–π interaction with H655/Y655.

oobb45729 commented 1 year ago

For N969K and Q954H, they are rare aside from Omicrons and Deltacrons. I wonder whether they enable each other. For now, both of them and nearby residues do not mutate often. D950N/D950H became rare since Q954H took over.

oobb45729 commented 1 year ago

Back to the topic. V642G: 11

FedeGueli commented 1 year ago

Designated EK.2 : https://github.com/cov-lineages/pango-designation/commit/1c9afe9399a4cc531d59cf7b7b6101894450e4b7 EM.1: https://github.com/cov-lineages/pango-designation/commit/246161b3298cc8d78aea5e5c974e773fa05bc083

ryhisner commented 1 year ago

@oobb45729, that is all super interesting. Thank you for the information and links. On the H655Y topic, I've noticed V642G becoming more common as well, but also deletions in the same area that I'd never seen before. They are always three- or six-nucleotide deletions. The different deletions seem to come in the four flavors depicted below.

image

For the most part these are not monophyletic, but almost all the recent in-frame ∆F643 have been in BQ.1.3, which also has E619Q. The first BQ.1.3 + ∆F643 sequence showed up on Dec 23 in Switzerland. There seem to be two different lineages: a four-sequence lineage in Switzerland, Austria, and Moldova, and a 38-sequence lineage in Ontario, Canada.

image

Six-nucleotide deletions in the 620-622 region are also popping up now and then, along with the occasional ∆Q675. And of course, P621S has been on a roll lately and shows up pretty frequently in highly mutated, chronic-infection sequences. I'm not entirely sure what it all means, but it seems like the first inkling of possibly changing selection pressure in that region.

HynnSpylor commented 1 year ago

Note that in GISAID query, the branch of XBB.1+T23018C (S:F486P) +S:Y200C has 22 seqs, while XBB.1.5(T17124C, T23018C) +S:Y200C has 11(as mentioned in table). I wonder whether the first one is worth proposing an issue.

HynnSpylor commented 1 year ago

@FedeGueli Thanks to reply! I try to propose an issue for discussion in #1704

Memorablea commented 1 year ago

Just raised: XBB.1.5 cases in China #1717

ryhisner commented 1 year ago

Yes, that's the 5th one from the US Midwest. with T284I, R403K, L513F, ORF3a:A31V, ORF3a:T269M, and ORF1a:P309S. I've got a proposal mostly written for that one, and if another sequence shows up, I'll probably post it.

ryhisner commented 1 year ago

I don't think I've ever seen this S2 deletion before: S:∆859-860. It's in an XBB.1.5 from Georgia, USA, which also has another very rare S2 mutation with S:C1236Y, which has only ever been in ~160 sequences worldwide. EPI_ISL_17128969

image
RajLABN commented 1 year ago

XBB.1.5 w/ Spike_V83P [ 5 California & 1 Mexico] : A 2-Nuc change image

Memorablea commented 1 year ago

Two cases of XBB.1.5 were reported today in Guangdong, China.

The serial numbers are EPI_ISL_17170853 and EPI _ISL _17170852

Memorablea commented 1 year ago

Two cases of XBB.1.5 were reported today in Guangdong, China.

The serial numbers are EPI_ISL_17170853 and EPI _ISL _17170852

The pedigree of 17170852 was identified as EM.1, a descendant of XBB.1.5.7. In Zhanjiang, Guangdong, China.

Memorablea commented 1 year ago

Yesterday's two came from Yichang, Hubei, serial numbers 17182661 and 17182662.

FedeGueli commented 1 year ago

This last update has been very time expending. I m not sure if this could be kept updated anymore. Please write down here if you spot any lineage rising.

i suggest @corneliusroemer to take a look at lineages growing with YYY, likely they are the most fit.

Memorablea commented 1 year ago

XBB.1.5 in Haikou, Hainan, China, available at 17175998.It has S: S254F

FedeGueli commented 1 year ago

@Mike-Honey just proposed one with S:I666V

FedeGueli commented 1 year ago

S:T478I got designated XBB.1.5.40

corneliusroemer commented 1 year ago

XBB.1.5 seems to get outcompeted by a number of parallel XBB lineages - there's already a lot of sublineages due to early spread in high-sampling-geographies (US, Europe) so I think we can slow down here.

FedeGueli commented 1 year ago

Closed indeed