Open steven-cd opened 2 years ago
The Mild, ILI SARI etc. outputs come from CovidSim and are adopted in WSS. I think we should include the CrystalCast "valuetypes". There is a mapping between these (for WSS at least), so I wonder if the interface can populate the ones which aren't directly produced.
There are some tricky issues, e.g. in WSS R, mean_generation_time, and growth_rate are related by a simple equation, but on other codes they are fully independent.
With covid-policy-modelling/covid-policy-modelling#56, we released a first draft of an export. There are a number of metrics that we omitted however, that we should now investigate adding:
prevalence
Mild
+ILI
+SARI
+Critical
+CritRecov
/ population (which we'd have to lookup)?prevalence_mtp
prevalance
weekly_cases_per_100k
incMild
+incILI
+incSARI
+incCritical
+incCritRecov
for the last week * 100000 / population?community_prev
Mild
+ILI
+SARI
+Critical
+CritRecov
, although unsure if there is some meaning to "community", e.g. may be justMild
+ILI
?type28_death_inc_line
num_positive_tests
incidence
incMild
+incILI
+incSARI
+incCritical
+incCritRecov
, although it's not clear from the description if this should then be given as a proportion, e.g. of populationmean_generation_time
var_generation_time
kappa
var_generation_time
?growth_rate
exp[(R-1)/mean_generation_time]
, but that might not be universaldoubling_time
log2 * genTime / (R-1)
, but that might not be universalI do not think we need to support all the values. If there is one that we do not have the information in the output schema to produce (and it can't be looked up from some data source like population), we can decide whether we need to update our schema, or just choose to ignore that value.
We can potentially go back to ask questions about the external schema if things aren't clear, although I don't know how quickly we'd get a response.
This may get split into separate issues, as some are more complex than others.
Definitions
We define the following metrics for each day in our output schema:
Mild
ILI
SARI
Critical
CritRecov
R
incDeath
For the first five, we also define cumulative versions representing total numbers since the start of the pandemic (
cumMild
,cumILI
,cumSARI
,cumCritical
&cumCritRecov
). By taking the difference between two consecutive days, the UI also determines the numbers of new cases on a given day (which I'll refer to asincMild
,incILI
,incSARI
,incCritical
&incCritRecov
).