search

djay / covidthailand

Thailand Covid testing and case data gathered and combined from various sources for others to download or view
126 stars 15 forks source link

Deaths 2024 is missing from Excess Deaths - Thailand #296

Closed modiholodri closed 2 weeks ago

modiholodri commented 3 weeks ago

image

djay commented 3 weeks ago

ok. but is that graph still useful? its getting a bit hard to read

djay commented 2 weeks ago

@modiholodri fixed

modiholodri commented 2 weeks ago

@modiholodri fixed

@djay I still find it interesting how the overall situation is progressing and there was a peak a couple of months ago.

djay commented 2 weeks ago

@modiholodri the peak in excess deaths in april I'd be 99% sure was due to the heat wave. Same reason there was a spike in excess deaths in April 2016. But what is keeping the deaths higher than pre-pandemic numbers generally I'm not sure about. In terms of trying to work out how much covid is out there the only number that I think gives an indication anymore is the hospitalised on ventilator number since there doesn't seem to be much testing of deaths or mild cases. It might be interesting to see if what the correlation is between excess deaths and the ventilator number

image image

modiholodri commented 2 weeks ago

@djay Yes, completely agree with you that the heat wave had a big impact. I would not blame it for 99% but still a considerable portion. May was also very hot (just according to my feeling), and the numbers are very close to last year. Maybe wait until the end of the year to see if there is some pattern emerging…

djay commented 2 weeks ago

@modiholodri well there is an effect of the first part of a wave killing those that were not doing well already and then there being less of them afterwards. also people change their behaviour and relatives and the government also. So I can see why there might be more deaths at the start of a heat wave than at the end rather than a pure correlation with temperature.

modiholodri commented 2 weeks ago

@djay Yes, correlations are probably most of the time not pure. Anyway, good that the numbers get updated again.👍