[CI] TsdbIndexingRollingUpgradeIT testIndexing {upgradedNodes=1} failing

Build Scans:

Reproduction Line:

./gradlew ":qa:rolling-upgrade:v9.0.0#bwcTest" -Dtests.class="org.elasticsearch.upgrades.TsdbIndexingRollingUpgradeIT" -Dtests.method="testIndexing {upgradedNodes=0}" -Dtests.seed=326FC5DB28B75FAE -Dtests.bwc=true -Dtests.locale=nn-Latn-NO -Dtests.timezone=Asia/Famagusta -Druntime.java=21 -Dtests.fips.enabled=true

Applicable branches: main

Reproduces locally?: N/A

Failure History: See dashboard&_a=(controlGroupState:(initialChildControlState:('0c0c9cb8-ccd2-45c6-9b13-96bac4abc542':(dataViewId:fbbdc689-be23-4b3d-8057-aa402e9ed0c5,fieldName:task.keyword,order:0,selectedOptions:!(),title:'GradleTask',type:optionsListControl),'4e6ad9d6-6fdc-4fcc-bf1a-aa6ca79e0850':(dataViewId:fbbdc689-be23-4b3d-8057-aa402e9ed0c5,fieldName:className.keyword,order:1,selectedOptions:!(org.elasticsearch.upgrades.TsdbIndexingRollingUpgradeIT),title:'Suite',type:optionsListControl),'144933da-5c1b-4257-a969-7f43455a7901':(dataViewId:fbbdc689-be23-4b3d-8057-aa402e9ed0c5,fieldName:name.keyword,order:2,selectedOptions:!(testIndexing%20%7BupgradedNodes%3D1%7D),title:'Test',type:optionsListControl)))))

Failure Message:

java.lang.AssertionError: 
Expected: "Trial was already activated."
     but: was "Operation failed: Trial was already activated."

Issue Reasons:

[main] 3 consecutive failures in step openjdk21_9.0.0_java-fips-matrix-bwc
[main] 2 consecutive failures in step openjdk21_8.17.0_java-fips-matrix-bwc
[main] 5 failures in test testIndexing {upgradedNodes=1} (2.4% fail rate in 208 executions)
[main] 3 failures in step openjdk21_9.0.0_java-fips-matrix-bwc (100.0% fail rate in 3 executions)
[main] 2 failures in step openjdk21_8.17.0_java-fips-matrix-bwc (100.0% fail rate in 2 executions)
[main] 3 failures in pipeline elasticsearch-periodic (100.0% fail rate in 3 executions)

Note: This issue was created using new test triage automation. Please report issues or feedback to es-delivery.

elastic / elasticsearch

[CI] TsdbIndexingRollingUpgradeIT testIndexing {upgradedNodes=1} failing #115755