epiforecasts / covid.german.forecasts

Comparing crowd sourced and model derived forecasts of Covid-19 for Germany and Poland
https://cmmid-lshtm.shinyapps.io/crowd-forecast/
MIT License
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Update rt #16

Closed seabbs closed 4 years ago

seabbs commented 4 years ago

Updates Rt forecast and makes interface changes to support EpiNow2 1.3.0.6. Also switches from forecasting using the most recent Rt estimate based on mostly complete data to using the most recent Rt estimate based on partial data in response to observed rapid changes in Rt. As this leads to a potentially spurious increase in uncertainty reported forecast has filtered credible intervals (moving from central 80% to central 60%).

nikosbosse commented 4 years ago

Thanks!