Contains models and tools to produce short-term forecasts for both case and sequence notifications assuming circulation of either one or two variants. Tools are also provided to allow the evaluation of the use of sequence data for short-term forecasts in both real-world settings and in user generated scenarios.
The final horizon for the variant of concern appears to shrink compared to earlier horizons. This is very surprising and likely indicates an indexing bug. This is not critical as occurs outside of the observed window (which is where this estimate is most useful) but obviously needs tracking down.
seabbs
commented
2 years ago
The final horizon for the variant of concern appears to shrink compared to earlier horizons. This is very surprising and likely indicates an indexing bug. This is not critical as occurs outside of the observed window (which is where this estimate is most useful) but obviously needs tracking down.
The VOC advantage plot in the readme highlights this: https://github.com/epiforecasts/forecast.vocs