epiforecasts / forecast.vocs

Contains models and tools to produce short-term forecasts for both case and sequence notifications assuming circulation of either one or two variants. Tools are also provided to allow the evaluation of the use of sequence data for short-term forecasts in both real-world settings and in user generated scenarios.
http://epiforecasts.io/forecast.vocs
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Support higher order auto-regressive terms for the growth rates. #69

Open seabbs opened 3 years ago

seabbs commented 3 years ago

At the moment the growth rate parameters are based on a single lag 1 difference autoregressive process. It would make sense to allow the user to optional extend this.