epiforecasts / forecast.vocs

Contains models and tools to produce short-term forecasts for both case and sequence notifications assuming circulation of either one or two variants. Tools are also provided to allow the evaluation of the use of sequence data for short-term forecasts in both real-world settings and in user generated scenarios.
http://epiforecasts.io/forecast.vocs
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Add case study vignette #80

Open seabbs opened 3 years ago

seabbs commented 3 years ago

The package could do with a vignette case study outlining the potential use case. Ideally this would include some element of validation (both prior and predictive checks) and simulated real-world use (i.e inferring transmissibility and forecasting performance).

As this vignette may be long-running it would potentially make sense to render if offline from Rmd -> md though ideally with some kind of check (perhaps a git hook) to make sure the vignette has been rerun for new major package versions.

seabbs commented 2 years ago

Add a case study vignette using daily data and Omicron SGTF samples. This could include a discussion of AR case weighting, reporting delays, and truncation adjustments. To fit the package it should have some forecasting elements as well as potentially a discussion of what can be learned about the inferred parameters. @kathsherratt this might be an interesting adaption of your work (obviously at a later date).