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Monkeypox models #43

Open sdwfrost opened 5 years ago

sdwfrost commented 5 years ago

See:

https://doi-org.ezp.lib.cam.ac.uk/10.1093/ije/17.3.643

and

http://www.pnas.org/content/early/2010/08/24/1005769107.short

for background; essentially, as population immunity wanes against smallpox due to cessation of vaccination, monkeypox can emerge.

An early model is here:

https://doi.org/10.1093/oxfordjournals.aje.a114747

(and is included in the shared papers folder on the kitchen)

Also see Lloyd Smith et al. about the importance of heterogeneity in R0:

https://www.nature.com/articles/nature04153

(included in shared papers)