On estimate outbreak severity
Nishiura H, Klinkenberg D, Roberts M, Heesterbeek JA. Early epidemiological assessment of the virulence of emerging infectious diseases: a case study of an influenza pandemic. PLoS One. 2009 Aug 31;4(8):e6852. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0006852. PMID: 19718434; PMCID: PMC2729920. https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0006852
Please read the following before the workshop begins:
On estimate transmission metrics
Gostic KM, McGough L, Baskerville EB, Abbott S, Joshi K, Tedijanto C, Kahn R, Niehus R, Hay JA, De Salazar PM, Hellewell J, Meakin S, Munday JD, Bosse NI, Sherrat K, Thompson RN, White LF, Huisman JS, Scire J, Bonhoeffer S, Stadler T, Wallinga J, Funk S, Lipsitch M, Cobey S. Practical considerations for measuring the effective reproductive number, Rt. PLoS Comput Biol. 2020 Dec 10;16(12):e1008409. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1008409. Erratum in: PLoS Comput Biol. 2021 Dec 8;17(12):e1009679. PMID: 33301457; PMCID: PMC7728287. https://journals.plos.org/ploscompbiol/article?id=10.1371/journal.pcbi.1008409
On estimate outbreak severity Nishiura H, Klinkenberg D, Roberts M, Heesterbeek JA. Early epidemiological assessment of the virulence of emerging infectious diseases: a case study of an influenza pandemic. PLoS One. 2009 Aug 31;4(8):e6852. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0006852. PMID: 19718434; PMCID: PMC2729920. https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0006852
On individual-level variation in transmission (i.e. superspreading potential) Althaus CL. Ebola superspreading. Lancet Infect Dis. 2015 May;15(5):507-8. doi: 10.1016/S1473-3099(15)70135-0. Epub 2015 Apr 19. PMID: 25932579; PMCID: PMC7158960. https://www.thelancet.com/journals/laninf/article/PIIS1473-3099%2815%2970135-0/fulltext