evjrob / bayes-bet

NHL hockey model and predictions
http://bayesbet.io
MIT License
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Incorporating xGoals #27

Open NolanUBIQ opened 11 months ago

NolanUBIQ commented 11 months ago

Thanks for sharing this logical and effective modelling approach. Have you ever considered incorporating the information contained in one of the open source xGoal models?

evjrob commented 11 months ago

I’ve thought about it a little bit, but not seriously pursued it yet.

NolanUBIQ commented 11 months ago

I think the easiest way would to be rescale the final goal totals in some way based on xG. It's a bit tricky to implement in a poisson framework like this