search

filipmellgren / chomsky_decomp

0 stars 0 forks source link

Variation in categories #4

Open thomasmikaelsen opened 2 years ago

thomasmikaelsen commented 2 years ago

We are particularly interested in identifying instances where a country changes category.

First idea: Russia moves from enemy to client with the election of Jeltsin.

(1) Is this a correct categorization? (2) If so, we would need to argue that it is.

thomasmikaelsen commented 1 year ago

We want plausibly exogenous variation in whether a country is a friend or client. Two avenues:

(1) accidental deaths followed by the succession of a more hostile/friendly head of state toward the US. Wiki has a list of heads of state that died while in office, so next step is to figure out who of these were superseded by a head of state with a different attitude toward the US.

(2) Close elections that didn't have a predictable outcome and where the winner has a different attitude toward the US than the incumbent