search

gnosis / prediction-market-agent

GNU Lesser General Public License v3.0
27 stars 5 forks source link

Ideas for creating new markets #175

Open kongzii opened 5 months ago

kongzii commented 5 months ago

This issue is just to gather ideas about how we could create new markets that are

  1. Novel
  2. Interesting
  3. Resolvable with good accuracy (let's say at least 90%)

Olas' market-creator is doing (1), but the accuracy isn't good (should get better by OFV resolver), and half of them aren't very interesting.

The Replicator is doing (2) and (3), but they aren't (1) as they are just copy-pasted.

kongzii commented 5 months ago

This won't do (1) Novelty, but it looks copyable 😄 https://www.gjopen.com/challenges

kongzii commented 5 months ago

Another potential sources are Autocast paper, Metaculus and CSET Foretell