gnosis / prediction-market-agent

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Use prediction prophet research report in ThinkThoroughly #302

Closed kongzii closed 2 months ago

kongzii commented 3 months ago

Right now, TT agent is doing it's own research https://github.com/gnosis/prediction-market-agent/blob/7e0d4534d83d9b16fe7d907e757483808329a825/prediction_market_agent/agents/think_thoroughly_agent/think_thoroughly_agent.py#L205.

It's doing better job in estimating probabilities between similar questions, yet it still underperforms in comparison with Prediction Prophet.

I thin what we could do is:

Because this is quite a huge change, I think instead of updating the current TT agent, there can be 2 of them living side by side and we can compare them later on.

gabrielfior commented 3 months ago

Agree with 2-agent approach (with shared components, e.g. scenario generation and correlated markets). Inheritance lends itself well I guess.

kongzii commented 2 months ago

Will be resolved by https://github.com/gnosis/prediction-market-agent/pull/315