griffreichert / nfl-betting

The Cleveland Browns can stay irrational longer than I can stay solvent

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Defensive Category Grades #3

Open griffreichert opened 3 months ago

griffreichert commented 3 months ago

Requirements

Define a notebook for each defensive category
Scrape metrics for each category automatically ('or download')
synthesize metrics into

Run Stop

epa per rush allowed
- limit win prob to be within 20-80%
yards before contact allowed
yards per game allowed
RYOE (under expectation)
PFF grades

Pass Rush

pressure rate
pass rush win rate
dvoa?
sacks

Coverage

pff grades
- downweight weak link systems
passing yards allowed
seperation metrics?
how to grade??