Open hansihuang2016 opened 6 years ago
auditing yinhua 6% tax capital call money contribution check website application 50option timing signal in email dayan CV
业绩预增的空仓期,我用果仁上的业绩预增做了一下,效果是有所提升的。果仁的业绩预增见策略10。也就是当高斯业绩预增空仓时,且不处于崩盘期,那么用果仁上的业绩预增补足仓位,高斯业绩预增不空仓优先用高斯。 果仁的原始曲线是这样的 拼接后对比高斯的曲线有所提升,回撤不放大
对于有色空仓期,我有两个提议,1. 用大盘/价值因子的策略去替换,但这个策略本身占比较大14%,我怕分散了半天还是被一个主观决定弄毁了分散,当然波哥说的也有道理,这空暇期的14%用主观判断下也未尝不可。目前来看价值和大市值的IC已经牛了一年了,这个趋势可能还会延续,目前是年报季节快到了,又要谈价值投资,6月又是MCSI,所以这个需要大家商量下决定。可以用蓝筹大盘和大盘价值两个拼接,或者直接上一个。参看空闲策略:大盘价值
还有个方案是ETF轮动,可以从300/500,50/创业板,恒生/纳斯达克etf里选2对。恒生/纳斯达克的轮动还没给大家展示过,我觉得可能是有风险的,年化不是很高,涨跌幅是每限制的,回撤有点难控制
ECB决议和油价
当前通胀能否起来已经成为市场的焦点。发达经济体除了服务业占比大,大家紧盯劳动力市场以外,石油是仅次于工资的影响通胀的重要外生变量之一。分享一张有意思的图,油价上涨的高峰和低谷均对应ECB重大货币政策决议时点。 倘若油价进一步飙升,ECB可能会认为未来通胀将高企,进而进一步紧缩,这也是市场目前所预期的。部分成员国失业率依然较高的情况下,劳动力成本尚未有苗头迅速上翘。在此背景下,油价涨幅或许能一定程度暗示后续ECB紧缩的速度和力度。
量化科普.docx Thinking fast and slow.docx 复合策略曲线 2018.1.26.xlsx Copy of 高斯实盘记录.xlsx
• EU rejects Brexit trade deal for UK financial services sector
• US 10yr Treasury yields continue to rise to 2.73% (+2bp) after dropping below 2.7% intraday
• Eurosovereign yields rise again, curves flatten as 5yr yields rise, 30yr yields fall
• German 10yr 0.69% (+1bp), Ireland 10yr 1.12% (+3bp), German/Irish 10yr spread widens
• French syndication tomorrow with 9bn to be issued over new 10yr, 15yr and 50yr
• Data-heavy day with euro area HICP and unemployment levels released
• Eurozone core inflation rises to 1.0% (prev. 0.9%, exp. 1.0%) but below headline rate of 1.3%
• EU unemployment rate remains at 9-year low at 8.7% in December (prev. 8.7%, exp. 8.7%)
• French Jan HICP jumped to 12-month high of 1.5% y/y, outperforming expectations (prev. 1.2%, exp. 1.2%)
• Spain Jan HICP hit 16-month low of 0.5% y/y (prev. 1.1%, exp. 0.9%)
• US equities are bouncing back from two sessions of losses with S&P 500 up 0.2% for the day
• EU equities slightly down with Stoxx 600 dropping -0.2%
• Dollar under broad pressure ahead of first Fed policy meeting of 2018, Euro up by a further 0.25% to $1.2430
• Euro slightly weaker vs pound at £0.8759 (-0.1%), back from intraday high of £0.8815
• Brent crude oil is down 0.3% at $68.80 ahead of data on US oil inventories scheduled for release later on today
• Gold is 0.5% higher at $1,344 an ounce
国信证券_2017-11-23_指数投资系列:基于股票分化度的指数趋势策略.pdf