It would be nice to be able to have a lower bound on what we might expect mean-state errors to be just due to unforced climate variability. In other words, how far off might our estimate of the "observed" mean state from a 40-year sample be from a true (zero-frequency) mean state?
It would be nice to be able to have a lower bound on what we might expect mean-state errors to be just due to unforced climate variability. In other words, how far off might our estimate of the "observed" mean state from a 40-year sample be from a true (zero-frequency) mean state?