highlyprofitable108 / top-secret-modeling

full-monte-football-sim
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Review Confidence Interval and Power Rankings in sim_runner #47

Closed highlyprofitable108 closed 1 year ago

highlyprofitable108 commented 1 year ago

Description:

There have been observations that the confidence intervals generated by the sim_runner are unusually narrow. This could potentially indicate an issue with the way we're calculating them or with the underlying data. Additionally, the power rankings used as part of the simulation might need a review to ensure they are being utilized correctly.

Tasks:

Review Confidence Interval Calculation:

Examine Power Rankings:

Monte Carlo Simulation:

Data Quality:

Documentation:

highlyprofitable108 commented 1 year ago

Here's what I'm thinking:

highlyprofitable108 commented 1 year ago

Done with the updated outputs.

Will review data points later