search

huffyhenry / shot-generation

Bayesian modelling of shot generation and conversion in soccer
GNU Lesser General Public License v3.0
10 stars 0 forks source link

Correct rates for time played #3

Closed huffyhenry closed 5 years ago

huffyhenry commented 6 years ago

Time elapsed has a general effect on shooting rates: the later in the game, the more shots, presumably due to the defence getting tired. Model this explicitly.

huffyhenry commented 5 years ago

Nb. to do this properly, one needs to integrate absolute time out of the expression for the waiting time...