Administered Test-Positive Rate (TPR) has been much lower (~2%) than Reported Test-Positive Rate suggesting that reported test results are skewing older and more positive. Are delays in test reporting getting even longer?
There has been a marked increase in Skilled Nursing Facility (SNF) cases in last week as hospitalizations and administered TPR have declined, including the largest single one-day rise ever (. I would expect a proportionate decrease
The decline in hospitalizations does track with the decline in cases, I think. Is OC hiding hospital cases as SNF? Maybe. But not enough to really affect the narrative of the epidemic in OC right now, which is: curve flattened at an elevated plateau after June surge.
Trello Card: https://trello.com/c/bDfRT5qP
Ended up not doing as deep a statistical analysis as I planned. Really just put together a table and eye-balled it. Find the table here:
A couple interesting things turned up:
For more information, see these Reddit comments: