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ktindiana / sphinxval

SPHINX validation code for solar energetic particle models
MIT License
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Feature Request: Advanced Warning Time #16

Closed ktindiana closed 7 months ago

ktindiana commented 9 months ago

Calculate AWT following methodology in previous version of validation code.

rickyegeland commented 9 months ago

Can you outline the methodology here?

ktindiana commented 7 months ago

Advanced Warning Time has been added to the code. AWT is calculated if models provide forecasts for: All Clear Threshold Crossing Time Start Time Peak Intensity Peak Intensity Max

AWT is calculated for each of the forecast types, so if a model only produces one type of forecast, the AWT will always be reported with respect to: AWT to Observed Threshold Crossing Time AWT to Observed Start Time (in case somehow a modeler applies different thresholds to calculate start time and threshold crossing time?) If a peak flux forecast, then Peak Intensity Time or Peak Intensity Max Time

AWT is calculated by selecting the first in a continuous series of forecasts leading up to an SEP event that predict an SEP event will occur.