kuriwaki / cvr_harvard-mit_scripts

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Colorado overview: privacy-based redaction #105

Closed kuriwaki closed 5 months ago

kuriwaki commented 5 months ago

@canemutlu is planning on looking into Colorado but here is an overview plus an interesting thing I found from the Colorado SOS.

class_harvard class_medsl county_name diff_harvard diff_medsl
0 difference any < 5% mismatch DOLORES 0 3
0 difference red ROUTT 0 -11052
any < 1% mismatch any < 1% mismatch GRAND -1 -1
any < 1% mismatch any < 1% mismatch PARK -1 -1
any < 1% mismatch any < 1% mismatch CLEAR CREEK -2 -2
any < 1% mismatch any < 1% mismatch CUSTER -4 -4
any < 1% mismatch 0 difference LA PLATA -4 0
any < 1% mismatch any < 1% mismatch RIO BLANCO -4 -4
any < 1% mismatch any < 1% mismatch MORGAN -5 -5
any < 1% mismatch red MESA -9 -9
any < 1% mismatch red EAGLE -10 -11044
any < 1% mismatch any < 1% mismatch ARAPAHOE -15 -15
any < 1% mismatch any < 1% mismatch ADAMS -16 -16
any < 1% mismatch any < 1% mismatch LOGAN -21 -21
any < 1% mismatch any < 5% mismatch PITKIN -22 47
any < 1% mismatch any < 5% mismatch EL PASO -35 97
any < 1% mismatch red JEFFERSON -35 76
any < 1% mismatch any < 1% mismatch WELD -36 -36
any < 1% mismatch any < 1% mismatch PUEBLO -46 -46
any < 1% mismatch any < 1% mismatch LARIMER -55 2
any < 1% mismatch any < 5% mismatch DOUGLAS -56 112
any < 1% mismatch any < 10% mismatch DENVER -170 -24968
any < 5% mismatch any < 5% mismatch SUMMIT -166 -166
any < 5% mismatch any < 5% mismatch BOULDER -2600 -2600
any < 10% mismatch any < 10% mismatch JACKSON -3 -3
red red LAS ANIMAS -7843 -7843

Slides with an example

image
kuriwaki commented 5 months ago

Another overview of Colorado:

There are 64 counties in CO. Harvard has collected 62, and MEDSL has collected 61.

kuriwaki commented 5 months ago

@canemutlu Perhaps you can go through https://votedatabase.com/cvr/Colorado/ and list which counties (in my first table) have the word "redacted" in their filename. If they do, the small negative discrepancies are likely due to privacy redaction.

For the counties that do not have "redacted", that suggests we need to dig deeper.