If GMagAO-X cannot secure the funding needed to maintain schedule, other instruments might be developed at other observatories that can perform as well or better than GMagAO-X.
Risk Effects:
GMagAO-X is trying to achieve the best performance possible with today's technology. However, as technology advances, we can expect future instruments to exceed the capabilities of GMagAO-X. This means that GMagAO-X has a limited window of opportunity to achieve a strong science impact. To maximize the GMagAO-X science mission, we need to complete the instrument development on schedule, and we need to take advantage of any opportunities to get on sky early (see #22).
Risk Assessment:
Risk Ratings
Likelihood
Consequence
Initial
3
3
Current
3
3
Target
1
2
Initial Risk Notes:
We need about $6M to procure the suite of DMs needed for GMagAO-X. The lead time for these items is 2-3 years. If we determine that we need 5 microns stroke, the cost will be around $12M and the lead time 3-5 years. To hold schedule, we need to order the DMs pretty soon after the December 2023 PDR. We likely need to be ordering other long lead items in 2024.
Risk Notes/Updates:
Cost Impacts:
Estimated cost if risk is realized:
Explanation for cost risk:
Risk mitigation list:
- [ ] Secure funding sufficient (around $10M) to procure long lead items in 2023-2024
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Risk creation date: 8/26/2023
Last Modified: 8/26/2023
Risk type: Scientific Impact
Risk Approach: Mitigate
Risk Owner: Jared Males
Risk Statement:
If GMagAO-X cannot secure the funding needed to maintain schedule, other instruments might be developed at other observatories that can perform as well or better than GMagAO-X.
Risk Effects:
GMagAO-X is trying to achieve the best performance possible with today's technology. However, as technology advances, we can expect future instruments to exceed the capabilities of GMagAO-X. This means that GMagAO-X has a limited window of opportunity to achieve a strong science impact. To maximize the GMagAO-X science mission, we need to complete the instrument development on schedule, and we need to take advantage of any opportunities to get on sky early (see #22).
Risk Assessment:
Initial Risk Notes: We need about $6M to procure the suite of DMs needed for GMagAO-X. The lead time for these items is 2-3 years. If we determine that we need 5 microns stroke, the cost will be around $12M and the lead time 3-5 years. To hold schedule, we need to order the DMs pretty soon after the December 2023 PDR. We likely need to be ordering other long lead items in 2024.
Risk Notes/Updates:
Cost Impacts:
Estimated cost if risk is realized:
Explanation for cost risk:
Risk mitigation list:
- [ ] Secure funding sufficient (around $10M) to procure long lead items in 2023-2024 - [ ] - [ ] - [ ]