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markjrieke / 2024-potus

repo for constructing a 2024 presidential election forecast
MIT License
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Adjust how aggregates are summed #16

Open markjrieke opened 2 months ago

markjrieke commented 2 months ago

National, Nebraska, & Maine are aggregate "states", where the total is a weighted sum of the component parts on the latent scale. This should be the weighted sum of components on the outcome scale, rather than latent scale.