Match Prediction - Githubissues

mcekovic / tennis-crystal-ball

Ultimate Tennis Statistics and Tennis Crystal Ball - Tennis Big Data Analysis and Prediction

Apache License 2.0

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Match Prediction #62

Closed mcekovic closed 7 years ago

mcekovic commented 7 years ago

Based on weight items:

Elo Rating
Surface Elo Rating
H2H
Surface H2H
H2H in last period
Surface H2H in last period
Vs Ranking
Vs Hand
Vs Backhand
Winning Pct in Level
Winning Pct on Surface
Winning Pct in Round

mcekovic commented 7 years ago

Implemented relatively simple neural network match predictor based on features like Rank, Ranking, Elo Rating, H2H, Wining Pct by Surface, Level, Round, Recency, Vs Rank, Vs Hand, Vs Backhand... Prediction rate is ~70% Profitability against Bet365 odds (margin 6.6) is ~0% (i.e. beats odds by bookmaker's margin level, but could not beat it more than that to be capable of making profit)