Dear developers,
I checked mean average error of metno historical predictions for year 2021 and compared to fmi-station data. One would expect prediction to get worse for a longer prediction time but that seems not to be the case for temperature and wind speed (for pressure it seems ok).
Do I have a bug in my code or can this be explained some other way, a typical plot of MAE with respect to time (0-54h) is below (here for temperature).
paapu88
commented
1 year ago
Dear developers, I checked mean average error of metno historical predictions for year 2021 and compared to fmi-station data. One would expect prediction to get worse for a longer prediction time but that seems not to be the case for temperature and wind speed (for pressure it seems ok).
Do I have a bug in my code or can this be explained some other way, a typical plot of MAE with respect to time (0-54h) is below (here for temperature).