microsoft / qlib

Qlib is an AI-oriented quantitative investment platform that aims to realize the potential, empower research, and create value using AI technologies in quantitative investment, from exploring ideas to implementing productions. Qlib supports diverse machine learning modeling paradigms. including supervised learning, market dynamics modeling, and RL.
https://qlib.readthedocs.io/en/latest/
MIT License
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Create pytorch_mtmd.py #1726

Closed tianshijing closed 5 months ago

tianshijing commented 5 months ago

Description

Recently, machine learning methods have shown the prospects of stock trend forecasting. However, the volatile and dynamic nature of the stock market makes it difficult to directly apply machine learning techniques. Previous methods usually use the temporal information of historical stock price patterns to predict future stock trends, but the multi-scale temporal dependence of financial data and stable trading opportunities are still difficult to capture. The main problem can be ascribed to the challenge of recognizing the patterns of real profit signals from noisy information. In this paper, we propose a framework called Multiscale Temporal Memory Learning and Efficient Debiasing (MTMD). Specifically, through self-similarity, we design a learnable embedding with external attention as memory block, in order to reduce the noise issues and enhance the temporal consistency of the model. This framework not only aggregates comprehensive local information in each timestamp, but also concentrates the global important historical patterns in the whole time stream. Meanwhile, we also design the graph network based on global and local information to adaptively fuse the heterogeneous multi-scale information. Extensive ablation studies and experiments demonstrate that MTMD outperforms the state-of-the-art approaches by a significant margin on the benchmark datasets.

Motivation and Context

No, but all about MTMD related work/issues description can be found at https://github.com/MingjieWang0606/MTMD-Public/tree/main. Previous methods usually use the temporal information of historical stock price patterns to predict future stock trends, but the multi-scale temporal dependence of financial data and stable trading opportunities are still difficult to capture. The main problem can be ascribed to the challenge of recognizing the patterns of real profit signals from noisy information. In this paper, we propose a framework called Multiscale Temporal Memory Learning and Efficient Debiasing (MTMD). Specifically, through self-similarity, we design a learnable embedding with external attention as memory block, in order to reduce the noise issues and enhance the temporal consistency of the model. This framework not only aggregates comprehensive local information in each timestamp, but also concentrates the global important historical patterns in the whole time stream. Meanwhile, we also design the graph network based on global and local information to adaptively fuse the heterogeneous multi-scale information. Extensive ablation studies and experiments demonstrate that MTMD outperforms the state-of-the-art approaches by a significant margin on the benchmark datasets. ## How Has This Been Tested?

Screenshots of Test Results (if appropriate):

  1. Pipeline test:
  2. Your own tests: WeChat9d9b8fd38fd75a4435a06d228f18d989 WeChatd524b76a060122ef0e39e37be75fe2bf

Types of changes

tianshijing commented 5 months ago

 I have sole ownership of intellectual property rights to my Submissions and I am not making Submissions in the course of work for my employer. @microsoft-github-policy-service agree

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------------------ 原始邮件 ------------------ 发件人: "microsoft/qlib" @.>; 发送时间: 2024年1月6日(星期六) 下午4:49 @.>; @.**@.>; 主题: Re: [microsoft/qlib] Create pytorch_mtmd.py (PR #1726)

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tianshijing commented 5 months ago

 I have sole ownership of intellectual property rights to my Submissions and I am not making Submissions in the course of work for my employer. @microsoft-github-policy-service agree

Mr.隽 @.***

 

------------------ 原始邮件 ------------------ 发件人: "microsoft/qlib" @.>; 发送时间: 2024年1月6日(星期六) 下午4:49 @.>; @.**@.>; 主题: Re: [microsoft/qlib] Create pytorch_mtmd.py (PR #1726)

@tianshijing please read the following Contributor License Agreement(CLA). If you agree with the CLA, please reply with the following information. @microsoft-github-policy-service agree [company="{your company}"]
Options:

(default - no company specified) I have sole ownership of intellectual property rights to my Submissions and I am not making Submissions in the course of work for my employer. @microsoft-github-policy-service agree
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This Contribution License Agreement (“Agreement”) is agreed to by the party signing below (“You”), and conveys certain license rights to Microsoft Corporation and its affiliates (“Microsoft”) for Your contributions to Microsoft open source projects. This Agreement is effective as of the latest signature date below.

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