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mishajw / vaxtldr.uk

https://vaxtldr.uk
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Population Issues #2

Closed ThePraeceps closed 3 years ago

ThePraeceps commented 3 years ago

Hey,

I noticed you changed your data to be based off of English vaccination data but uses the population of the UK for it's percentages.

According to the ONS that makes the population total 56,286,961 oppose to 66m

You could solve this by doing a per-captia estimation for other nations, as vaccine supply is based off of this and is the current limiting factor.

Additonally I feel it is important to note that the vaccine hasn't been approved for children yet too, which may also adjust your predictions.

Thanks for making this website - it's a good place for some positivity rn, and I hope I can help make it more accurate.

mishajw commented 3 years ago

Fixed the population numbers. I'll open a separate issue for taking into account that only adults are planned to be vaccinated.

Thanks for the feedback!

ThePraeceps commented 3 years ago

I think you broke >80s unless there are 53.4 million of them ;)

ThePraeceps commented 3 years ago

I also believe that your "Predicting vaccinations" assumes an immediate doubling of vaccine supply to cover 2nd doses, although this might not be far from the truth if Scotland's supply estimations have held (once again, relevant due to per capita vaccine distribution), but once again is potentially noteworthy in the estimations.