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Knowing What You Know: Calibrating Dialogue Belief State Distributions via Ensembles #19

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https://twitter.com/arxiv_cscl/status/1325115943547236352 https://arxiv.org/abs/2010.02586

Knowing What You Know: Calibrating Dialogue Belief State Distributions via Ensembles Carel van Niekerk, Michael Heck, Christian Geishauser, Hsien-Chin Lin, Nurul Lubis, Marco Moresi, Milica Gašić Heinrich Heine University Dusseldorf, Germany The ability to accurately track what happens during a conversation is essential for the performance of a dialogue system. Current state-of-the-art multi-domain dialogue state trackers achieve just over 55% accuracy on the current go-to benchmark, which means that in almost every second dialogue turn they place full confidence in an incorrect dialogue state. Belief trackers, on the other hand, maintain a distribution over possible dialogue states. However, they lack in performance compared to dialogue state trackers, and do not produce well calibrated distributions. In this work we present state-of-the-art performance in calibration for multi-domain dialogue belief trackers using a calibrated ensemble of models. Our resulting dialogue belief tracker also outperforms previous dialogue belief tracking models in terms of accuracy. Findings of EMNLP2020