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nansencenter / DAPPER

Data Assimilation with Python: a Package for Experimental Research
https://nansencenter.github.io/DAPPER
MIT License
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Add Corona model using real data. #60

Open patnr opened 3 years ago

patnr commented 3 years ago

Cross-validate with "future".

Example should say:

- DAPPER is not made to assimilate real data cases.
- It requires a truth time series for its statistics and liveplotting.
- Corona1 model is ridiculously oversimplified, using no compartments.
- It is not chaotic, but highly sensitive to the R parameter,
  which is modulated by societal intervention.
- The biggest question seems to be the modelling of the observation operator.
    - How to deal with numbers counted on different days.
    - How to deal with test volume vs number of positives.