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ncx-co / ifm_deferred_harvest

Documents, Data, and Code. The NCX Methodology For Improved Forest Management (IFM) Through Short-Term Harvest Deferral.
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Public Comment: 173 (Briana Capra) #173

Closed ncx-gitbot closed 1 year ago

ncx-gitbot commented 1 year ago

Commenter Organization: Forest Carbon Works

Commenter: Briana Capra

2021 Deferred Harvest Methodology Section: Section 6 Baseline Scenario, Appendix A

Comment: The methodology does not analyze or even consider the trend in the baseline scenario. A clear trend could exist for harvest deferral within the sector, in which case such a trend should be taken into account for the baseline scenario and the carbon-at-risk model. The requirement is: Performance benchmarks shall be established based upon available technologies and/or current practices, and trends, within the sector. Where the analysis of trends shows a clear trend of improvement in the baseline scenario over time, the performance benchmark shall take account of the trend

Proposed Change: VCS Rerefence: VCS Methodology Requirements Section 3.4.5

ncx-gitbot commented 1 year ago

NCX response: The business as usual model is a hierarchical statistical model that predicts one-year harvest risk and intensity based on FIA training data and a suite of covariates that include geographic, biological, economic, and sociological factors. Partial pooling across forest types ensures that the model is able to leverage the similarity and ubiquity of covariate relationships across the forests of the continental U.S. while still allowing for regionally specific differences. That said, we are continually improving our model to be able to better capture historical trends in the baseline scenario.