nhs-bnssg-analytics / fpt_analysis

Scoping the possibility of predicting performance from demand and capacity metrics
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Evaluation metric #18

Closed sebsfox closed 5 months ago

sebsfox commented 10 months ago

Currently, I am evaluating the model performance using Rsq. This may not be a useful metric. Potentially, if an ICS is always being predicted low, but the trend is right, that might be good enough. Here are some links the Rich suggested:

General reviews

One backing up the R^2!

Directional accuracy

In addition to the above, when attempting to sell the model with users, what is the best way to describe its performance?