nikosbosse / Metaculus-Twitter-bot

17 stars 4 forks source link

Bot claims large increase every day without large increase #28

Closed dskloet closed 1 year ago

dskloet commented 1 year ago

For 6 days in a row, the bot has claimed double digit percent increases in this one question while the actual prediction increased only from 31% to 35% in this time.

https://twitter.com/MetaculusAlert/status/1604718578200199173 https://twitter.com/MetaculusAlert/status/1605141407894839296 https://twitter.com/MetaculusAlert/status/1605533993025372160 https://twitter.com/MetaculusAlert/status/1605986967421861904 https://twitter.com/MetaculusAlert/status/1606439947615043585 https://twitter.com/MetaculusAlert/status/1606892905544794115

https://www.metaculus.com/questions/11243/russian-military-deaths-by-2024/?sub-question=10557

nikosbosse commented 1 year ago

Hi @dskloet, thanks for creating an issue! We're working on it (#29)