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nt409 / AI-for-good

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Extensions to the current SEIR model #4

Closed billlyzhaoyh closed 4 years ago

billlyzhaoyh commented 4 years ago

Based on the video here https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m6Hr69JH_wA, we are aiming to extend the current SEIR model used in the simulation

  1. Stochastic simulation to estimate Epidemic risks within the refugee camp
  2. Age contact matrix included in the age structure of the population
  3. Have another pathway for asymptomatically infected people
nt409 commented 4 years ago

2: Age Structure possible starting points: a) https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanpub/article/PIIS2468-2667(20)30073-6/fulltext b) https://cmmid.github.io/topics/covid19/current-patterns-transmission/reports/age_hypotheses/Main%20text%20-%20COVID-19%20dynamics%20in%20children_%20implications%20for%20policy%20-%20no_line_numbers.pdf c) https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.03.19.20039107v1.full.pdf

3: Asymptomatic: https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.03.18.20038612v2.full.pdf

billlyzhaoyh commented 4 years ago

I will be working on 1 according to the code here (https://github.com/HopkinsIDD/covidKutupalong) tailored to our model

billlyzhaoyh commented 4 years ago

Stochastic simulation only affects the dynamics of the epidemics at the start of the outbreak thus will be parked for now

billlyzhaoyh commented 4 years ago

all improvements mentioned here are added