Several states and counties appear to show a spike in the death count during the week from 11/6 to 11/12. Is that an artifact in my calculations or is something else going on?

nytimes / covid-19-data

A repository of data on coronavirus cases and deaths in the U.S.

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/us/coronavirus-us-cases.html

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Several states and counties appear to show a spike in the death count during the week from 11/6 to 11/12. Is that an artifact in my calculations or is something else going on? #693

Closed MirrorCola closed 1 year ago

MirrorCola commented 2 years ago

Describe the issue:

[ ] Incorrect number of cases or deaths
[ ] Suspicious number of cases or deaths
[ ] Missing data for a locality
[ ] Missing time-series information
[ ] Other

Fuller details

A clear and concise description of the problem, with examples if possible. If you are reporting incorrect data for a specific locality, please include a link to your source. We will compare with our own list of sources. Please check the README and recent commit messages for updates to see if your issue is addressed.

MirrorCola commented 2 years ago

Looks like you've noted 11/11/22 as anomalous for deaths in many counties. Any comments on what the cause is?

raagnew commented 2 years ago

Bust in US death count is on Nov 11. date | cases | deaths | daily deaths 11/7/2022 | 97515911 | 1068574 | 11/8/2022 | 97537052 | 1068787 | 213 11/9/2022 | 97630738 | 1069707 | 920 11/10/2022 | 97718587 | 1070288 | 581 11/11/2022 | 97729911 | 1083006 | 12718 << 11/12/2022 | 97732486 | 1083008 | 2 11/13/2022 | 97734440 | 1083009 | 1 11/14/2022 | 97785361 | 1083181 | 172 11/15/2022 | 97818425 | 1083484 | 303 11/16/2022 | 97903783 | 1084197 | 713 11/17/2022 | 97986304 | 1084623 | 426 11/18/2022 | 98038669 | 1085139 | 516 11/19/2022 | 98042166 | 1085150 | 11

albertsun commented 2 years ago

Hi all,

Yes, as noted in our anomalies file we started including deaths reported by a new source, the CDC's NCHS which collects death certificates and now reports out the number of Covid deaths per-county by county of residence. This let us identify a large number of counties where it appeared the number of deaths reported by county and state officials were under counted. In those cases where they had reported fewer deaths than CDC we are now using the higher CDC reported number of deaths.

MirrorCola commented 2 years ago

Thanks for the explanation, I saw the anomalies file but didn't understand the cause. As far as I'm concerned this item can now be closed.

Once again, I appreciate all of the work so many of you are doing to compile this and for you to be so responsive.

raagnew commented 2 years ago

I also appreciate the data y'all have compiled since the inception of this pandemic. Trendline distortion should be temporary.

Bob Agnew

On Mon, Nov 21, 2022 at 3:30 PM MirrorCola @.***> wrote:

Thanks for the explanation, I saw the anomalies file but didn't understand the cause. As far as I'm concerned this item can now be closed.

Once again, I appreciate all of the work so many of you are doing to compile this and for you to be so responsive.

— Reply to this email directly, view it on GitHub https://github.com/nytimes/covid-19-data/issues/693#issuecomment-1322606010, or unsubscribe https://github.com/notifications/unsubscribe-auth/AISHVOO3K4UAALVHBSOASADWJPLU5ANCNFSM6AAAAAASF2TJBM . You are receiving this because you commented.Message ID: @.***>